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Looking at sentinel imagery, the reservoir isn't suitable right now for heavy vehicles to drive on. There's some photos floating around that show it dried out...that's only the first few inches. There's also still channels of water in the middle of the reservoir. Late summer it might be dried out more, but (not being a hydrologist) the river is probably still going to be there even if the reservoir isn't.

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Whoops edited. Guess I was thinking of Britannia and ruling the waves or something.

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Yeah, we're not sure what the quality of those territorial regiments are in Kherson - probably crap but they are bodies. It's not like Ukraine has particularly large amounts on their side either, and no easy way of crossing in bulk unless the 808th "Bob the Beaver" Pontoon Regiment has a surprise up their sleeve.

We're curious what the status of the islands downstream are too, and who got a foothold first after the flood receded...

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Well written as always. I believe that the Dnipro crossing is little more than a diversion to tie down Russian units that could be used elsewhere. My concern for Ukraine is that unless they can substantially flank or weaken Russia's defensive lines, they will throw one armoured unit after another on minefields. Sadly, Ukr has a paucity of mine clearing equipment.

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